Polymarket Trader

0x81300A0a80718398f9Ab90db00D4b85A76245a50-1780230851747

0x81300a0a80718398f9ab90db00d4b85a76245a50

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $391.71
Realized PnL: $982.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $61.53
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $21.93

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $970
Potential profit: $969.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $962.84
Potential profit: $940.69
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $505.83
Potential profit: $496.73
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $474.72
Potential profit: $466.65
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $28.22
Potential payout: $444.39
Potential profit: $416.17
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $16.47
Potential payout: $357.96
Potential profit: $341.49
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $342
Potential profit: $337.04
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$14.88

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $33.31
Potential payout: $270.8
Potential profit: $237.49
Multiplier: 8.13x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $248.71
Potential profit: $225.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $42.16
Potential payout: $165.33
Potential profit: $123.17
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $122.75
Potential profit: $120.42
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $25.81
Potential payout: $109.84
Potential profit: $84.03
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$9.16

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $13.74
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $91.53
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$6.93

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $24.63
Potential payout: $92.96
Potential profit: $68.33
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $70.33
Potential profit: $58.02
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $67.46
Potential profit: $67.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.99

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $61.76
Potential profit: $59.82
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $60.56
Potential profit: $49.39
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $57.32
Potential profit: $56.09
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $49.07
Potential profit: $47.47
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $31.17
Potential payout: $44.21
Potential profit: $13.04
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $41.11
Potential profit: $38.64
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $12.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.24

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.89

Over position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.92

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.85

Over position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.64

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.29

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $24.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.25

Karmine Corp Blue position

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.56

Team WE position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.47

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $21.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

UCAM Esports Club position

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

San Diego Padres position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 74% 0.27 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 74% 1.54 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 75% 0.51 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 95.4% 0.39 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 90% 0.02 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 95.4% 0.28 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 85% 2.33 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 63% 3.13 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 41% 9.23 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 15% 64.33 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 16% 68.31 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 21% 9.24 shares