Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x8137Bf1FdEa6896F88805c71a7D00347dBFd34f1-1772314873464
0x8137bf1fdea6896f88805c71a7d00347dbfd34f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.05
- Realized PnL
- $105.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.33
- Potential profit
- $258.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $11.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $238.38
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $228.49
- Potential profit
- $225.86
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$7.37
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $170.6
- Potential profit
- $164.2
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $157.88
- Potential profit
- $157.02
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9.13
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $154.54
- Potential profit
- $145.03
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $137.32
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $130.71
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Yes position
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $44.43
- Potential payout
- $84.63
- Potential profit
- $40.2
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.77
- Potential profit
- $69.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $9.21
- Potential payout
- $52.64
- Potential profit
- $43.43
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $41.4
- Potential profit
- $31.46
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.6
- Potential profit
- $39.6
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.31
- Potential profit
- $38.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $35.72
- Potential profit
- $22.33
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Yes 24.2% 41.4 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 142.86 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Yes 0.2% 57.4 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 0.1% 102.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 0.4% 33.33 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 314.36 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.7% 83.33 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 333.33 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 4.9% 102.31 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 116.39 shares
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 6.9% 144.93 shares