Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $64.46
- Potential payout
- $101.52
- Potential profit
- $37.05
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $7.61
Polymarket Trader
0x8138...4655
0x8138d361a1de1ad1f12c9b26a79fcc4573094655
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $108.96
- Realized PnL
- $44.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $30.98
- Potential payout
- $76.15
- Potential profit
- $45.16
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.58
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $12.76
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $14.85
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 45% 22.22 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 63% 39.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 18.43 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.2% 25.38 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 56% 101.52 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 14.85 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.2% 50.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 63% 15.79 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No 76% 13.09 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 78% 25.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 59% 16.86 shares