Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $102.75K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $397.25K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$147.25K
Polymarket Trader
ATaleOf2Outcomes
0x813bcab6cbc1a214ab0f7920574966e130090127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $636.31K
- Realized PnL
- $259.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $397.25K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $102.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $147.25K
Over position
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- $20
N
No position
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Brazil?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $39.48K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $520
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$480
N
No position
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 0 Brazil?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.87K
- Potential payout
- $9.9K
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- User PnL
- $1.98K
N
No position
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- $4
N
No position
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $911.34
- Potential payout
- $911.8
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $0.55
N
No position
Will Qatar reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $787.05
- Potential payout
- $791
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- User PnL
- -$3.16
No position
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $625.31
- Potential payout
- $625.62
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $0.94
Y
Yes position
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $623.43
- Potential payout
- $623.74
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $15.15
Over position
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $427.56
- Potential payout
- $427.77
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.21
N
No position
Will Qatar reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $262.64
- Potential payout
- $262.77
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Will Switzerland finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $227.07
- Potential payout
- $227.18
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $8.78
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $198.9
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $198.45
- Potential payout
- $198.55
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.27
N
No position
Will Brazil be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $155.95
- Potential payout
- $167.69
- Potential profit
- $11.74
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.15
Over position
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $55.26
- Potential payout
- $164.95
- Potential profit
- $109.69
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$108.04
N
No position
Scotland vs. Brazil: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $65.97
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will Canada be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $30.47
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.24K
Y
Yes position
Will Panama be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.02
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.47
Y
Yes position
Will Panama be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $331.79
Y
Yes position
Will Panama win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $270.4
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.36
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.05
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.45
N
No position
Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.05
Y
Yes position
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.47
No position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
N
No position
Ghana leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.73
Y
Yes position
Will Panama be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.77
N
No position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
No position
Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.04
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
Under position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
N
No position
Qatar leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
N
No position
Will Algeria finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
N
No position
DR Congo leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
N
No position
Panama leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Y
Yes position
Portugal to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
N
No position
Uzbekistan to score first vs. Portugal?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Over position
Switzerland vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
N
No position
Panama vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Under position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Down position
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Over position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
N
No position
Will Croatia finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
N
No position
Will Colombia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Over position
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
N
No position
Will Jordan finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Y
Yes position
Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
N
No position
Will Panama reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
N
No position
Uzbekistan to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Under position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
N
No position
Ghana to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Under position
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
N
No position
Will Jordan be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over 99.9% 20 shares
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Neither team to score first?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will Brazil be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No 90.5% 167.69 shares
- Will Canada be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 99.9% 30.56 shares
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 9 shares
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 21.55 shares
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 98.9% 67.41 shares
- Will Switzerland finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 97.8% 176.18 shares
- Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 97.9% 515.76 shares
- Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 99.7% 30.55 shares
- Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 99.8% 168 shares