sdssds

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.2
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$7.6

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Keyd Stars Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$8.9

No position

Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.3
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.1

No position

Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.97
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.8
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $12.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 8?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $13.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 13.1%
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $167.50 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 6 2026?

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 8?