Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Polymarket Trader
IWANTTOTRADE
0x8141c0001fddcb3676a230b83c69f875d92b0b4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $216.26
- Realized PnL
- $179.61
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $502.39
- Potential profit
- $497.62
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $496.07
- Potential profit
- $491.36
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $475
- Potential profit
- $470.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $475
- Potential profit
- $470.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $475
- Potential profit
- $470.96
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $26.34
- Potential payout
- $315.5
- Potential profit
- $289.16
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $8.43
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $277.29
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $228.89
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $181.63
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $143.37
- Potential profit
- $135.99
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $137
- Potential profit
- $134.07
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $136.54
- Potential profit
- $126.3
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $133.81
- Potential profit
- $132.41
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $130.63
- Potential profit
- $128.4
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $124.01
- Potential profit
- $114.59
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $11.54
- Potential payout
- $123.38
- Potential profit
- $111.84
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $119.47
- Potential profit
- $115.05
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $118.33
- Potential profit
- $110.64
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $59.68
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $26.45
- Potential payout
- $48.53
- Potential profit
- $22.08
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $42.67
- Potential profit
- $35.2
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Current value
- $14.65
- Potential payout
- $17.72
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $41.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Over position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44
N
No position
Germany leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Jiri Lehecka position
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Egypt?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 50% 34.88 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes 56% 27.27 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes 19.9% 75 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 62% 24.5 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No 92% 16.3 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 14.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 78.6% 17.72 shares
- Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela RuseEmma Navarro 63% 22.72 shares
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Polina IatcenkoPolina Iatcenko 33% 42.85 shares
- Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?No 88.5% 16.85 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 61.2% 24.19 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 43% 34.88 shares