Polymarket Trader

KimJonEn

0x81525952f172646a4104030e9a9ef1e769c7bfda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.77K
Realized PnL: $129.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $24.52
Potential payout: $7.01K
Potential profit: $6.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $72.03
Potential payout: $6.86K
Potential profit: $6.79K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $5.41K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.25K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $29.01
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $4.65K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $114.5
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$831.82

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.14K
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $18.73
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: $922.26

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $266
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$868.91

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$59.6

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $867.11
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$120.58

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $570
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $10

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $830
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $722.08
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$534.47

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $199.92
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $694.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $40.69
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $754.58

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$504.99

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $15.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $432.1

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $246.04
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $984.16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$247.5

Yes position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $118.17
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$188.45

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $869.58
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $245.27
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $341.22

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $15.87
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$340.76

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $735.01
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $265
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $75.01

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $993
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $47.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38K

No position

Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96K

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28K

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97K

No position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No 58% 500 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 71% 1,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 71% 1,000 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 11% 1,448.07 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.4% 128.61 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 5,549.01 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 95.7% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 72% 500 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

No 94% 500 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 78% 500 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 70% 399.03 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 46% 352.74 shares