Polymarket Trader

TransRightsAreHumanRights

0x815cbff1318a0dc25e1517a7a543ea86499814d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.9
Realized PnL: $288.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $111.66
Potential payout: $152.96
Potential profit: $41.3
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.53
Potential profit: $81.53
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.1
Potential profit: $45.1
User PnL: -$23.69

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.1
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.21
Potential profit: $34.21
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $13.57
Potential payout: $31.92
Potential profit: $18.36
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.03

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $26.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.33
Potential profit: $22.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Natalia Díaz Quintana win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.15
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $18.56
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.19
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.96

No position

Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.84

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.49

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.11

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.57

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.51

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 93.1% 5.61 shares
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes 8% 12.82 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 68.5% 17.25 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 81.7% 6.94 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 94.5% 4.41 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 52% 12.69 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 65% 20.31 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Yes 7% 83.34 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

No 98% 8.54 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 63.2% 15.08 shares