Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $77.56
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $50.64
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $27.56
Polymarket Trader
BillLiamNaire
0x81626b2ef8bac4fb609a1ef30a20670407596ffe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.56
- Realized PnL
- $633.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Nasty" during McGregor vs Holloway?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.37
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.83
No position
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Affordability" during NYC rally?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.99
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
N
No position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.01
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Biden" 6+ times during Michigan visit?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
No position
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during executive order signing today?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
Yes position
Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
Yes position
Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
No position
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
Will Trump say "Coward" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
N
No position
Will Trump say "Coward" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Common Sense" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Nasty" during McGregor vs Holloway?Yes 49.8% 25 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 93% 10 shares
- Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 99.1% 42.2 shares
- Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 73.3% 12.2 shares
- Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 51% 15 shares
- Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Yes 51% 15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 81.7% 67.11 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 14.9% 67.11 shares
- Will Trump say "UFC" this week?Yes 59% 6 shares
- Will Trump say "UFC" this week?Yes 56.9% 17.56 shares
- Will Trump say "Coward" this week?No 65% 8.46 shares
- Will Trump say "Coward" this week?No 61% 10 shares