No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $23.52
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Polymarket Trader
balon5
0x816698676f121a3efac83cd524529c7e28172957
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.29
- Realized PnL
- $75.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $20.61
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.8K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.14K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.89K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 47°F or below on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 96.9% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.9% 24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 99.8% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.9% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 17?No 99.8% 12.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 18?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 17?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?No 99.9% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 16?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 17?No 99.9% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 11?No 99.9% 24.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares