No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $261.18
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $802.47
Polymarket Trader
jollyrancher
0x816ff6b6823770a6458535d196c16999875bacbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.1K
- Realized PnL
- $152.11
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$404
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$208.85
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $854.14
- Potential profit
- $854.14
- User PnL
- -$49.51
Yes position
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $761.9
- Potential profit
- $761.9
- User PnL
- -$583.65
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.06
- Potential profit
- $369.06
- User PnL
- -$51.3
49ers position
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.43
- Potential profit
- $321.43
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.66
- Potential profit
- $296.66
- User PnL
- -$116.47
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$19.26
Buccaneers position
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.89
- Potential profit
- $88.89
- User PnL
- -$40
Buccaneers position
Buccaneers vs. Rams
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.45
- Potential profit
- $54.45
- User PnL
- -$27.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.44
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.36
Colts position
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.79
Cowboys position
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.61
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.12
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No 55% 2,363.65 shares
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 0.6% 11,532.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 92% 1,922.48 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 666.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 63.7% 1,255.82 shares
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 5.7% 7,732.13 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No 98.1% 1,500.16 shares
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)49ers 56% 321.43 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No 85.7% 375 shares
- Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No 64% 973.44 shares
- Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No 63% 793.3 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 10.8% 543.46 shares