Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $194.42
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $916.58
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Polymarket Trader
bahtman
0x817088d93e4ba95f41ea40e8eb99a4e9bc7545a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $986.4
- Realized PnL
- -$20.18
- Win rate
- 23.1%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $198.05
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $267.95
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $253.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $198.73
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $39.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $148.67
- Potential payout
- $187
- Potential profit
- $38.34
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179
- Potential profit
- $179
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $66.42
- Potential payout
- $162
- Potential profit
- $95.58
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $62.78
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $18.23
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $12.34
- Potential payout
- $56.74
- Potential profit
- $44.4
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $19.22
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $20.78
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $11.56
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $22.44
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$5.06
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $17.96
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 62% 12 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 250 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 317 shares
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 85% 14 shares
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 86% 14 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 179 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 39% 26 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 41% 30 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 278 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 84% 59 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 42% 162 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 3,547 shares