Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $252.16
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$171.2
Polymarket Trader
0x8177bfFA34e7E40CFE800380427C5eBbD4a511cB-1771494869377
0x8177bffa34e7e40cfe800380427c5ebbd4a511cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.37
- Realized PnL
- $174.04
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.5
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.17
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.33
- Potential profit
- $223.33
- User PnL
- -$33.12
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $194.1
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $115.98
- Potential profit
- $88.72
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.67
- Potential profit
- $95.67
- User PnL
- -$66.97
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $11.39
- Potential payout
- $75.19
- Potential profit
- $63.8
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.33
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.76
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$249.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.3% 349 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 1.2% 200 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 8.6% 115.98 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 13.3% 75.19 shares
- Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 140 shares
- Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 140 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 68% 118.5 shares
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 19% 120 shares
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 21% 120 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 67.4% 118.5 shares