No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.14K
- Potential payout
- $31.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Polymarket Trader
Donny.T
0x8190816855b676a5efd8c5b344135a72337bb247
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.3K
- Realized PnL
- $18.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.89K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19K
- Potential profit
- $19K
- User PnL
- -$15.54K
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $14.4K
- Potential payout
- $15.2K
- Potential profit
- $798.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $840.53
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.09K
- Potential payout
- $8.84K
- Potential profit
- $751.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $357.19
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $6.72K
- User PnL
- -$199.44
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $5.5K
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $167.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $233.19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $4.33K
- Potential payout
- $4.45K
- Potential profit
- $124.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $358.04
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $308.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $388.19
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $259.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $391.49
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $435.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $143.25
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $604.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$72.87
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $154.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $568.31
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $93.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $355.44
No position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $22.55
- User PnL
- $173.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $227.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $170.08
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$25.33
No position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $83.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $57.92
No position
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $98.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $176.45
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$570.39
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $46.91
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $158.12
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $124.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.25
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $84.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $149.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.63
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.43
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.27
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.39
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.84
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.91
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.58
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $683.91
Yes position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.78
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $630.61
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.85
No position
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.19
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $515.5
No position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.07
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.87
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.73
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.78
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 88% 50 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 500 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?No 96.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?No 96% 1,510 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 92% 20 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 67% 19 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 13% 1 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?No 96.1% 10 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 10 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?No 96.3% 500 shares