Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.84
- Potential profit
- $267.84
- User PnL
- -$241.06
Polymarket Trader
💰💰
0x81962d4b60e570db68de998ae77a35d07822ab69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.94
- Realized PnL
- $7.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $68.98
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $131.01
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $13.55
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.96
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.71
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.02
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.15
Yes position
Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.18
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.6
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.24
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.2
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.14
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.48
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.42
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.34
Yes position
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.94
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.45
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.37
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.59
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.9
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.75
Yes position
North Korea missile test by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 6.75 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 6.76 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 90% 400 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 80% 132.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.5% 667.03 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 76.8% 459.69 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 80% 90.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 119.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 955.54 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 93.7% 5.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 94.4% 5.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.3% 400 shares