No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
LukeGamma
0x81a60a0882a2393dd4a453e257af763e3362762e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $903.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 23?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.03
Yes position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.05
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
John Daghita arrested by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?No 0.1% 1,104 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?Yes 1% 8.9 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 246.4 shares
- Will UK strike Iran by April 30?Yes 0.1% 476.31 shares