Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Polymarket Trader
anon23
0x81aae467538e5a4addef9625bf3baa9c82342c39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.11
- Realized PnL
- $103.82
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $139.64
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.32
- Potential profit
- $130.32
- User PnL
- -$32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.3
- Potential profit
- $63.3
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.08
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17.66
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $14.46
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.52
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Even position
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes 27% 7.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 65% 1.66 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 142.86 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 67% 1.49 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98% 1.02 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.6% 15.15 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares