No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $392.5
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $72.02
Polymarket Trader
0x81b0...463a
0x81b099e4e8b720b4d1c9507632138408d161463a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.97K
- Realized PnL
- -$37.33
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $65.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $783.64
- Potential payout
- $865.9
- Potential profit
- $82.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $64.94
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $456.94
- Potential payout
- $522.22
- Potential profit
- $65.28
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $61.99
- Potential payout
- $93.93
- Potential profit
- $31.93
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $36.63
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $21.56
- Potential payout
- $23.06
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $11.64
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.27
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 94% 23.06 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 94% 3.16 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 93.5% 20.95 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 92.6% 61.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 25% 131.53 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 54.04 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 41.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 83.1% 11.64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 90.2% 89.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 12% 67.42 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 45.53 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 42.4 shares