Yes position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $39.47
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $486.84
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$60.53
Polymarket Trader
steirabua
0x81b49f541d4b9e01ed7395e6f2246c5a4793d205
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $359.54
- Realized PnL
- $513.8
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $33.42
- Potential payout
- $514.15
- Potential profit
- $480.73
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$66.58
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $16.91
- Potential payout
- $254.24
- Potential profit
- $237.33
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $50.49
- Potential payout
- $219.51
- Potential profit
- $169.02
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$18.51
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $166.95
- Potential payout
- $166.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $46.95
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $16.26
- Potential payout
- $119.97
- Potential profit
- $103.72
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.64
- Potential profit
- $111.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $89.29
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $83.07
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.2
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $15.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.36
Yes position
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.95
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.76
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.81
Yes position
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
Yes position
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.61
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffs
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 9% 111.64 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 29.6% 35 shares
- Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 31% 15.1 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
- Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 53% 56 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 35% 85.71 shares
- Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?Yes 2.2% 227.27 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 53% 37.74 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Yes 40% 8.54 shares