Polymarket Trader

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0x81b9aada45bbfa9eab835479adee83ca918f38f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.37
Realized PnL: $76.13
Win rate: 20.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.27
Potential profit: $95.27
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.1
Potential profit: $48.1
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.8
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.4
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.94
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $19.04
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.35
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.16
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$4.56

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.3
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $140B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Fakers position

Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

Infamous position

Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jill Smith record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Ends Jun 30, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of July 6 2026?

No 9% 20 shares
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 33% 0.25 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?

No 13% 40 shares
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

No 41% 20 shares
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

No 43% 40 shares
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.3B?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 37% 20 shares
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 8.8% 40 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

No 36% 40 shares
Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 34% 0.6 shares
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?

No 42% 32.4 shares
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 31% 8.18 shares