Polymarket Trader

Orfeux

0x81bee3fe9910dee63411a4020dd574152da143e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.77K
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: $314.85

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.99
Potential profit: $288.99
User PnL: -$173.48

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.53
Potential profit: $265.53
User PnL: -$115

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.45
Potential profit: $171.45
User PnL: -$110

Over position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.91
Potential profit: $160.91
User PnL: -$77.42

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.53
Potential profit: $138.53
User PnL: -$18

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.37
Potential profit: $137.37
User PnL: -$20

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.39
Potential profit: $117.39
User PnL: -$27

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.76
Potential profit: $111.76
User PnL: -$60

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.42
Potential profit: $105.42
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.54
Potential profit: $96.54
User PnL: -$28

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.77
Potential profit: $69.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.33
Potential profit: $67.33
User PnL: -$21.77

Yes position

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

San Francisco Giants position

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$12

Under position

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.6

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.03

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.26

No position

Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.78

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.26

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.05

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.6

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.01

No position

Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.27

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.61

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.32

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.96

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.54

Belgium position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.86

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.93

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.06

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

98% 153.26 shares
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 88.6% 2,776.23 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 1,252.18 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86% 116.28 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

4.5% 86.17 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

5.9% 32.64 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

8.4% 34.46 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88% 340.91 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 92% 978.26 shares
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 962.58 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 719.35 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

77.9% 246.7 shares