Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $27.47
- Potential payout
- $499.38
- Potential profit
- $471.91
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$132.75
Polymarket Trader
elviktor
0x81c0d7a80a1b64d630f07ad007a34eeb6f723fa5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.19
- Realized PnL
- -$50.99
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $71.78
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $363.23
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$46.45
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $142.91
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $30.38
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $119.63
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$9.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $13.23
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $126.77
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $129.87
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.35
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $21.21
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $20.79
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.42
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $30.62
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$17.67
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.7% 60 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 0.3% 5 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 2.9% 8 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.9% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 23.9% 63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 11% 90 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 64.5% 96.99 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 40 shares