Polymarket Trader

reparadise

0x81c42c9e31ed96dee927237cc17e80cee5796921

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.53
Realized PnL: $64.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $14.06
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $8.93
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.51
Potential payout: $10.36
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $6.91
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.77
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $4.21
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0.15

Los Angeles Dodgers position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91
Potential profit: $1.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 833.33x
User PnL: -$1

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

Yes position

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

San Francisco Giants position

Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 99.9% 1.61 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.7% 1.34 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 5.65 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 8.13 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.7% 4.21 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 75.2% 1.33 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 57.8% 1.73 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52.2% 1.91 shares