No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $296.74
- Potential payout
- $296.89
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $2.24
Polymarket Trader
pungerman
0x81d02f24548e020427c4824fc8211992307df1da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.74
- Realized PnL
- $640.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.75
- Potential profit
- $109.75
- User PnL
- -$98.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$24.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.55
- Potential profit
- $103.55
- User PnL
- -$33.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.35
- Potential profit
- $103.35
- User PnL
- -$46.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $102.04
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$57.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $13.41
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 27?No 99.2% 296.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No 99.9% 294.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No 98.6% 133 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No 98.4% 146.58 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 26?No 99% 90 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $580 on June 26?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 26?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 26?No 98.9% 15.82 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 26?No 98.9% 15.82 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on June 26?No 99% 19.5 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on June 26?No 99% 5 shares