Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
chrispike2
0x81d166b81afb261d1748e44022f01353f37915de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $354
- Realized PnL
- $80.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $470.01
- Potential profit
- $466.48
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.47
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $355.89
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.58
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $150.61
- Potential payout
- $150.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $110.61
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.16
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $92.11
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.21
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $80.71
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.47
- Potential payout
- $53.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $23.47
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.09
- Potential payout
- $31.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $27.52
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.24
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.74
- Potential payout
- $12.74
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.67
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.4% 1,381 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No 98.1% 10.19 shares
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No 96.5% 31.09 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.4% 357.14 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 94.2% 21.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes 5.9% 85.37 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 23% 43.48 shares