Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $741.87
- Potential profit
- $741.87
- User PnL
- -$114.75
Polymarket Trader
Ox81De0770551cA28Dc0Dc7fa148406D40BdfC20d4
0x81de0770551ca28dc0dc7fa148406d40bdfc20d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $456.44
- Realized PnL
- $241.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $646.67
- Potential profit
- $646.67
- User PnL
- -$1.94
N
No position
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $263.57
- Potential profit
- $263.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.1
- Potential profit
- $196.1
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $182.05
- Potential payout
- $183.42
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $36.02
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.89
- Potential profit
- $114.89
- User PnL
- -$11.13
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $113.84
- Potential payout
- $114.19
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $89.46
- Potential profit
- $87.27
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $73.38
- Potential profit
- $72.47
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.52
- Potential profit
- $70.52
- User PnL
- -$10.13
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $62.96
- Potential payout
- $63.21
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $47.11
- Potential payout
- $47.68
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.23
- Potential profit
- $40.23
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $28.38
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.12
- Potential profit
- $36.12
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.93
- Potential profit
- $34.93
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $33.75
- Potential profit
- $28.69
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $30.77
- Potential payout
- $31.55
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.92
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.46
- Potential profit
- $30.46
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.06
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $26.61
- Potential profit
- $26.39
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.76
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.46
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.8% 28.03 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 0.3% 5 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 99.5% 5.79 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 99.5% 5 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?No 27% 5.56 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.1% 11 shares
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 28% 5.54 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 97.6% 5.11 shares
- Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?Yes 97.6% 5.11 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 35% 5.43 shares