Polymarket Trader

Convex7

0x81e0d0c6817669629a58ea8b08d2eb1b93492c3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.88
Realized PnL: $5.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $90.44
Potential profit: $84.56
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $780.92

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.7

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $392.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $326.59

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $314.72

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.63

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.16

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $232.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $223.39

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.87

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $189.78

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.28

Philadelphia Phillies position

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.46

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.36

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.85

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.94

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 0.4% 1,449.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82% 4.97 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 4.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 80.3% 20.03 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs 49.8% 43.23 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants 44% 19.98 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs 43% 18.18 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants 46.4% 60 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants 56% 20 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 46% 18.67 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Karmine Corp 48% 50 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

G2 Esports 35% 20 shares