No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.49K
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $525.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $455.78
Polymarket Trader
0x81e52407e3055f0164666Ef7Ff3A910c8926e9BC-1769575425465
0x81e52407e3055f0164666ef7ff3a910c8926e9bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.16K
- Realized PnL
- $3.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $254
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $106
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $455.61
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $101.77
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $780.52
- Potential payout
- $876.99
- Potential profit
- $96.47
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $43.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $579.65
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $469.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $213.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $91.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 4,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 98.4% 324.13 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 98.5% 8,278.02 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 98.9% 2,845.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99% 8,753.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?No 70% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 2 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 905.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 93% 8,602.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 95.7% 18.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown 75% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown 78% 5 shares