Polymarket Trader

1ncondition

0x81e7da2f2b94b160466916443b2624bbe3e6779f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $553.64
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $154
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $972.5
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $42.24
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $557.76
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $266
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $134
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $30.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $269.85
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $266.25
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$151

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$144

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.97
Potential profit: $99.97
User PnL: -$40.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.59

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.02

No position

Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.77

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.7

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.63

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.97

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $1.5

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 122.61 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 600 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 90% 200 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 167 shares
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Yes 4% 41.75 shares
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Yes 27% 18.82 shares
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Yes 77% 300 shares
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes 92.8% 300 shares
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

No 90% 85 shares
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Yes 99.9% 100.1 shares