No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $582.86
- Potential payout
- $604.63
- Potential profit
- $21.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Polymarket Trader
xiaotutumm
0x81e9d32196dfaa54eac04ecfa40aa7fc5bd593cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $251.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $273.03
- Potential payout
- $279.89
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $192.19
- Potential payout
- $193.84
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- User PnL
- $1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.47
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $128,000 on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96.3% 604.63 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.2% 279.89 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 193.84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.7% 40 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.5% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 99.5% 43.3 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.6% 30 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No 99.5% 243 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.4% 190 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No 99.6% 145.79 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No 99.3% 120 shares
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston AstrosPittsburgh Pirates 88% 120 shares