Polymarket Trader

WearyWanderer

0x81fa86d4bc777ee0b2d0b7dd644ca3e8bcc6c4d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.47K
Realized PnL: $20.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $511.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $169.8
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $42.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $447.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $348.33
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $957.28
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $270
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $391.16

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $131.71
Potential payout: $573.91
Potential profit: $442.2
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $61.71

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $20.28
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $535.28
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $47.77
Potential payout: $466.03
Potential profit: $418.26
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$12.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $45.59
Potential payout: $432.1
Potential profit: $386.51
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$24.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $408.16
Potential profit: $383.06
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $117.42
Potential payout: $384.98
Potential profit: $267.56
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $281.22
Potential payout: $321.39
Potential profit: $40.17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$10.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $100.2
Potential payout: $109.51
Potential profit: $9.31
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $35.93

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $75.47
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $35.47

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.56
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $947.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.7

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.98

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.87

80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.27

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.67

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.14

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $140 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.54

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.22

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.59

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.6

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.62

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes 92% 11.87 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 90.09 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 123.46 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 432.1 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 408.16 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 555.56 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 56% 35.71 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 54% 74 shares
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes 92% 5.66 shares
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes 92% 11 shares
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes 91% 13.33 shares
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes 91% 5.74 shares