Polymarket Trader

0x81fb62f6E367c7D4eD199f01Eef79F204c9425f3-1774359038306

0x81fb62f6e367c7d4ed199f01eef79f204c9425f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $616.59
Realized PnL: $839.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $573.65
Potential payout: $593.23
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $113.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.52
Potential profit: $567.52
User PnL: -$436.99

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $457.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.04
Potential profit: $443.04
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.02
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.56

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.15
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 77.5% 593.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 80.5% 574.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 80% 313.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 77% 567.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 80% 461.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 77% 454.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 74.5% 324.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 79.3% 126.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 79.3% 312.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 98.3% 437.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 80% 437.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 79% 443.04 shares