Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $664
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Polymarket Trader
usbmaster
0x820aeb2ca90df689866fa9f0345df240f40184de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.94K
- Realized PnL
- $44.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $935.2
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $664.8
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $181.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $720.45
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $179.55
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $39.37
- Potential payout
- $42.24
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.03
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will 0xak_ win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $16.21
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.05
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.22
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.93
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- User PnL
- -$2.71
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Brian Harman win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will 0xak_ win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Epstein" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will coffeexcoin win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will 0xopaque win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 80.1% 900 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.5% 1,600 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 13?No 94.7% 42.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 13?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 87.9% 1,500 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.8% 3,200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 3,100 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?No 89% 7.87 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 97.3% 8.22 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 98.7% 16.21 shares
- Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.0B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day?No 98.3% 10.17 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?No 99.1% 5.05 shares