Polymarket Trader

Rarise

0x821578c831d1c45422161e5e070fb723fdda6424

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.01
Realized PnL: $14.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Khotin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.42K
User PnL: -$13.25

No position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $55.92
Potential payout: $56.39
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $13.92
Potential payout: $13.98
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $6.37
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.12

G2 NORD position

LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.79
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $5.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.78
Potential profit: $4.78
User PnL: -$3.97

NNP position

Counter-Strike: NNP vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group B

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $3.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Japan parliament dissolved before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Israel strike on Gulf State by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

GTA VI released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman not shake hands on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Russia announces air truce by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Tajikistan win Intervision 2025?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Richard Grayson win AZ-7 Special Election?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

2025 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: NNP vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group B

NNP 93% 4.28 shares
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B

G2 NORD 86% 5.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?

No 94% 3.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 28?

No 83% 4.74 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.7% 14.15 shares
Human moon landing in 2026?

No 94.1% 6.56 shares
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

No 99.6% 3.01 shares
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

No 93% 13.98 shares
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?

No 96.9% 7.22 shares
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

No 93% 10.75 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

No 95% 7.37 shares
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Yes 99.9% 40.92 shares