axiol

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21K
Potential profit: $7.21K
User PnL: -$274.06

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.47K
User PnL: -$99.85

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24.73
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$494.58

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $42.34
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$22.08

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$850.69

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$50.26

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$16.58

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$26.39

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$232.07

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$45.75

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $30.13
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$33.84

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$47.06

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$23.9

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $93.74
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $19.03

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$148.55

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$71.68

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$19.64

No position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$25.51

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$191.06

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$21.47

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $122.8
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $54.08

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.52

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819.09

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.96

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.66

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.71

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.08

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.31

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.93

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.53

No position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.74

Texas A&M position

Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.61

Jodar position

Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.55

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.92

No position

Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.9

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.73

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.19

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?