No position
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $24.96
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.21
Polymarket Trader
Carolinea3
0x821a28f26091efb6e8f6d4d0e79aea79ba97afa2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.02
- Realized PnL
- $12.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.7%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 1.86x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win fewer than 100 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 235 and 249 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 99.9% 27 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 99.8% 16 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 99.8% 21 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 99% 18 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 99% 18 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 97% 18 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 99% 15 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will Kevin O'Neil advance from the CA-48 primary election?No 98.5% 16 shares