Over position
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.97K
- Potential payout
- $7.97K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Polymarket Trader
HolydayChristmas
0x8232589c691f141042f3b4004771a46eac295992
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.72K
- Realized PnL
- $2.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.24K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- User PnL
- -$4.99K
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $383.06
- Potential payout
- $383.63
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- User PnL
- $83.06
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $308.55
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $55.76
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $13.68
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $605.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.47
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.84
No position
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.77
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.99
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.26
No position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.95
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.73
Yes position
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.37
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Flyers position
Penguins vs. Flyers
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over 62% 7,969.19 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsVitality 69% 7,236.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 93% 322.58 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 96.3% 224.97 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 67% 11,853.26 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 63.3% 11,853.26 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 19% 999.99 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 82% 700.68 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 16% 3,999.98 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 76.4% 5,999.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 58.3% 337.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 99% 505.12 shares