Polymarket Trader

sf2d6vb562fb

0x823700efaaece51f0cd800e734211ff24e4ba32e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.54
Realized PnL: $348.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.99
User PnL: -$52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.22
Potential profit: $41.22
User PnL: -$32.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $20.14
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$8

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Predators

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $6.26
User PnL: -$2.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.99

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Pelicans

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

No 85% 1.18 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

No 91% 1.1 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

No 99.3% 20.14 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.4% 1.21 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.8% 1.58 shares