Polymarket Trader

Constantine1

0x823b925290f2876b7562e74ce38f761f469c4eb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.79K
Realized PnL: $3.76K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $94.41
Potential payout: $6.09K
Potential profit: $6K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$39.58

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $529.84

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $316.66
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.29K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$165.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $574.37
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$47.63

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $310.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $691.75
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $4.91K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$221.24

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $243.04
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.36K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$64.96

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $248.68
Potential payout: $5.59K
Potential profit: $5.34K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $58.68

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $141.82
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $439.73
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.09K
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$8.27

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $586.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $104.11

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $358.07
Potential payout: $375.33
Potential profit: $17.27
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.01

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $143.1
Potential payout: $292.04
Potential profit: $148.94
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$56.9

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $188.91
Potential payout: $200.12
Potential profit: $11.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $88.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.98

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $480

No position

EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.72

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.9

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.63

No position

Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.01

Dubois position

Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$665.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 375.33 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Yes 82% 243.9 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 6,090.91 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 5,583.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 5,588.24 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 5,600 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 5,531.15 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 5,604.65 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 5,606.74 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 5,603.6 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 5,602.48 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 5,601.23 shares