cc416

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $6.42K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.61

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $48.62
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.18K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $6.17

No position

Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$29.33

Yes position

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $89.58
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $46.11

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $469.87
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $853.71
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$85.31

No position

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0014 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $45.65
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $25.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $25.91

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.48
Potential profit: $877.48
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $341.54
Potential payout: $823
Potential profit: $481.45
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$48.34

Yes position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $54.25
Potential payout: $774.99
Potential profit: $720.74
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $70.6
Potential payout: $641.83
Potential profit: $571.23
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.2
Potential profit: $639.2
User PnL: -$20.95

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$16.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $244.84

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $218.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $194

Yes position

GPT ads by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.61

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 55.9%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $120.26

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $110.99

Yes position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $75.98

Yes position

BNB all time high by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.42

Yes position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.14

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $69.81

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $68.72

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.85

Yes position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.85

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.6

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $42.4

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.1%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?