Polymarket Trader

AZwater

0x8245ea0d5a476678cb354b69e136908f0757ebed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.7K
Realized PnL: $227.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $5.28K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $171.85
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$96.24

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $122.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $32.5
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.93K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.92K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $77.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $60

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.54K
Potential profit: $1.77
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $2.69
User PnL: $22.43

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $0.69
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $880.9
Potential payout: $906.27
Potential profit: $25.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $39.98
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66K

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94K

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64K

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64K

No position

Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88K

No position

Will Solana dip to $160 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87K

No position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04K

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07K

No position

Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71K

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61K

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.7% 179 shares
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 2,082.99 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 5,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 5,000 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 10,000 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

No 99.9% 195 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

No 99.9% 5.74 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?

Up 99.9% 5,159.14 shares
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 98.6% 1,592.55 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

No 92% 200 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

No 90.6% 108.12 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

No 99.9% 3,192.25 shares