No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x824fcE286D9292bf265243d7D08cE927800f4d6b-1776459809173
0x824fce286d9292bf265243d7d08ce927800f4d6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.49
- Realized PnL
- $85.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $175.62
- Potential payout
- $816.84
- Potential profit
- $641.22
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $100.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $553.88
- Potential profit
- $550.28
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$106.4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $117.24
- Potential profit
- $110.85
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Yes position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $63.73
- Potential profit
- $54.49
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.64
- Potential profit
- $56.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.92
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 315.79 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 17% 294.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 3.3% 300 shares
- Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes 11.3% 442.54 shares
- Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes 6.7% 374.3 shares
- Obama federally charged before 2027?Yes 12.8% 117.24 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 15.7% 63.73 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?Yes 1.8% 56.64 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?Yes 30% 66.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 5.5% 90.91 shares