Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.68K
- Potential payout
- $8.69K
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- User PnL
- $7.6K
Polymarket Trader
0x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-1777748373551
0x8251d7c1ca289bc0d993b4f6eae36785472e879d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.95K
- Realized PnL
- $3.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $781.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $494.42
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $317.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $66.12
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $31.35
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $50.86
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $956.18
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $23.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $836.68
- Potential profit
- $836.68
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $742.87
- Potential profit
- $742.87
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $584.03
- Potential profit
- $584.03
- User PnL
- -$223.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.38
- Potential profit
- $578.38
- User PnL
- -$42.88
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.17
- Potential profit
- $556.17
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520.61
- Potential profit
- $520.61
- User PnL
- -$36.02
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.64
- Potential profit
- $488.64
- User PnL
- -$215
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.27
- Potential profit
- $300.27
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $297.23
- Potential payout
- $297.38
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $197.23
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.06
- Potential profit
- $258.06
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.83
- Potential profit
- $95.83
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.49
- Potential profit
- $82.49
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.26
- Potential profit
- $81.26
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.1
- Potential profit
- $78.1
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.01
- Potential profit
- $71.01
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 on June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.4
- Potential profit
- $32.4
- User PnL
- -$16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $31.53
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.33
- Potential profit
- $22.33
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.54
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.79
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $374.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.32
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.94
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.88
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.28
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.9
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.91
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.87
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.74
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.59
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.39
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Up position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Yes 3.4% 174.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 9.9% 404.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes 18% 416.67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes 82.1% 147.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Yes 3.1% 395.8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 9.8% 1,222.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes 18% 1,277.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 10.9% 1,636.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 814.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.6% 1,355.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 848.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 152.94 shares