No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
kuaizhuanqian
0x825e3d963401f12f62fc01029302cb501986e7d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.42
- Realized PnL
- $78.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$89
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.42
- Potential payout
- $64.42
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?No 98.9% 37.5 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?No 98.8% 26.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99.9% 43.9 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of May 11 2026?No 99% 19.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 91% 134 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown 84% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 99.9% 111.88 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No 99.5% 87.93 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No 99.1% 20 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No 99% 4.19 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?No 99.8% 30.67 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?Yes 98.9% 31 shares