Polymarket Trader

0x8260615ef0604c26712870c4A803936fea38A14b-1775226049986

0x8260615ef0604c26712870c4a803936fea38a14b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $640.62
Realized PnL: $37.87K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $123.4
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $18.86K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$76.6

No position

ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $9.6K
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.13K
Potential profit: $9.13K
User PnL: -$100

Makhmudov position

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $5.42K
User PnL: -$975.39

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $517.22
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $758.29
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $17.22

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850.84
Potential profit: $850.84
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.57
Potential profit: $827.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $327.87
User PnL: -$200

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.48
Potential profit: $100.48
User PnL: -$49.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.32K

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.03

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.52

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.73

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

Paulo Costa position

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.41

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.69

Mateusz Gamrot position

UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$524.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 1.1% 18,984.02 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?

Yes 5.5% 1,818.18 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 344.83 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61% 327.87 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 281.69 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 602.41 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 59% 423.73 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 39.2% 1,275.51 shares
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Jirí Procházka 49% 98.92 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

No 77% 25.62 shares