Polymarket Trader

Amrilyo

0x8278bd2ba325b2c569057f0ab64747c255a922a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $644.43
Realized PnL: $3.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $116.25
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$33.75

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.11
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.88

Yes position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $492.07
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $874.78
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$48.64

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$54.58

No position

Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.14
Potential profit: $869.14
User PnL: -$91.83

No position

Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.61
Potential profit: $651.61
User PnL: -$108.43

Yes position

Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $580
User PnL: -$78.6

Yes position

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.99
Potential profit: $469.99
User PnL: -$63.3

Yes position

Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.64
Potential profit: $368.64
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.79
Potential profit: $356.79
User PnL: -$57.09

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.76
Potential profit: $184.76
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.2
Potential profit: $94.2
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.12
Potential profit: $60.12
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $59.71
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28.3

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.83
Potential profit: $46.83
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$19.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.13

Yes position

Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.39

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.01

No position

Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.59

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.7

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.82

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.43

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.31

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.84

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.45

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.3

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.11

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.07

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.65

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: $46.11

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 99.9% 22.46 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 54% 18.52 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 27% 74.07 shares
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 68% 29.41 shares
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 66% 30.3 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 70.6% 28.31 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 66.8% 22.46 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 2,500 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 5,555.56 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 5,000 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?

Up 31.8% 94.2 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?

Up 49% 5.28 shares