Polymarket Trader

0x827e5d778E0A35f90E6714B9335c214db35Dd97C-1780748949153

0x827e5d778e0a35f90e6714b9335c214db35dd97c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.26
Realized PnL: $0.16
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $24.26
Potential payout: $27.41
Potential profit: $3.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.86

Team WE position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

No 34% 3.12 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 69% 6.97 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 84% 5.81 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 67% 5.27 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Yes 17% 11 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

No 32% 3.13 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 66% 3.44 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 84% 1.21 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 8 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.28 shares

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