Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $91.24
- Potential payout
- $869
- Potential profit
- $777.76
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$143.39
Polymarket Trader
0x8286b141d4923c87d0264DD5137Cade55098d22a-1720028164219
0x8286b141d4923c87d0264dd5137cade55098d22a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $550.58
- Realized PnL
- $357.83
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.53
- Potential profit
- $514.53
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $333.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $233.33
Yes position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $126
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.14
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $26.76
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 85.4% 16 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 34% 300 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes 17% 300 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 5.5% 454.55 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.7% 420 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 420 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 27% 869 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 2,543.32 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 43% 232.56 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes 19.4% 514.53 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 1,500 shares