Polymarket Trader

Sugarina

@sugarina69

0x82882d761b0d7f18b2cc286117d10cd8a15a5519

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.79K
Realized PnL: $98.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $169.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $54.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$271.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$115.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$107.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$95.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$105

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 69.7% 217.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 40% 176.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 57% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,105.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 49.8% 1,025.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 19.6% 470 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 19.1% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 18.8% 533.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 1,733.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 45% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 525.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,809.97 shares