Y
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $20.26
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$18.95
Polymarket Trader
0x396C88e990B24F84C33446aC09b57b485163C5D1-1779198190086
0x82ae434f983771a5bc94092a6850da80368e2890
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $670.26
- Realized PnL
- $24.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$355.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$331.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$433.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$347.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$290.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$268.69
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $195
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $805
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $455
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $545
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $978.76
- Potential profit
- $978.76
- User PnL
- -$411.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.56
- Potential profit
- $939.56
- User PnL
- -$714.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $913.68
- Potential profit
- $913.68
- User PnL
- -$310.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $904.95
- Potential profit
- $904.95
- User PnL
- -$556.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $880.55
- Potential profit
- $880.55
- User PnL
- -$631.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $871.87
- Potential profit
- $871.87
- User PnL
- -$427.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $859.18
- Potential profit
- $859.18
- User PnL
- -$376.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $855.39
- Potential profit
- $855.39
- User PnL
- -$107.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $853.7
- Potential profit
- $853.7
- User PnL
- -$272.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $847.97
- Potential profit
- $847.97
- User PnL
- -$514.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $844.4
- Potential profit
- $844.4
- User PnL
- -$438.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $838.65
- Potential profit
- $838.65
- User PnL
- -$327.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $832.84
- Potential profit
- $832.84
- User PnL
- -$230.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.81
- Potential profit
- $827.81
- User PnL
- -$284.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $808.65
- Potential profit
- $808.65
- User PnL
- -$293.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $933.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37.6% 50 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 45% 73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 21% 76 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 5% 82 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 91% 62 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 74.8% 14 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.9% 70 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 90% 25 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 70% 36 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 60% 59 shares